Paige’s Oscars 2017 Guide: Predictions, Precautions, & Politics

This year, I watched more award movies than ever. There are many reasons why this year I saw more Oscar nominated films than in previous years. For one, I always plan on seeing as many as possible, but often I don’t have the time. However, this award season was my first season not in school so I had much more free time. Also, my boyfriend, my close friends, and my family all love movies (thank God…right?), so I had many opportunities to see the most critically acclaimed films of the year — in addition to trashy, yet satisfying and entertaining movies. (Fifty Shades Darker was so good, idc what critics say.) For the record I’ll watch anything except for horror films. 

“Lion” stars Sunny Pawar & Dev Patel at the Golden Globes.

To be honest, sometimes movies that are the ripest on Rotten Tomatoes can be depressing, disturbing, or let’s be real — flat out boring. But these films contain amazing acting and artful sequences, putting them on that Oscar ballot. For example, Manchester By The Sea was probably one of the most depressing movies I’ve ever seen, for not being a true story or based on true events (Hotel Rwanda, 12 Years A Slave, etc). My mom and I were sobbing literally the entire film and it was pretty dull of a movie IMO. However, Casey Affleck did a phenomenal job. Absolutely incredible.

Manchester wasn’t the only film to tear at the heartstrings. The feels were real in Lion, Jackie, Moonlight, Fences, Hacksaw Ridge, and Hidden Figures. Okay, tbh I didn’t see Hell or High Water, but it seemed good. Hacksaw Ridge, on the other hand, was incredible. Andrew Garfield did AMAZING. Wow, I loved that movie. La La Land, which I’ve seen about three times now, obviously was a fave of mine, but it didn’t have the same emotions as the other films. Besides the ending, it made me happy and I was entertained. It’s pure originality is what I believe is making it win all the awards this season and I couldn’t be happier. However, I also really enjoyed Hidden Figures. I thought it was an amazing film and I wish that Taraji P. Henson was nominated for an Oscar. She deserved it!

If previous award shows this season are any indication, it’s assumed like the Oscars will be political — meaning that acceptance speeches will sure have many F*** Trump messages in them. I just read an article that Trump is apparently not watching the Oscars. I’d be very surprised if he would due to the fact that much of the world, women, me, etc Hollywood is liberal and anti-Trump. Remember Meryl Streep‘s speech at the Golden Globes? And James Corden‘s opening monologue at the Grammys? I feel like Jimmy Kimmel is definitely going to bring up Trump in his opening speech, because he knows his audience. What will happen we shall see on Sunday.

Below I have my “last word” on the films as well as my predictions about who I think will win and who I want to win.

IMO: 

If you care…and a word to sum up my opinion.

Arrival 8/10 “creative”
Fences 8/10 “complex”
Hacksaw Ridge 9/10 “powerful”
Hell or High Water 7/10 “entertaining’
Hidden Figures 10/10 “inspiring”
La La Land 10/10 “spectacular”
Lion 8.5/10 “captivating”
Manchester by the Sea 7/10 “depressing”
Moonlight 8/10 “honest”

 

BEST PICTURE NOMINEES

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Red-Who I Want To Win
Blue-Who I Think Will Win
Black-Who I Want and Believe Will Win Are The Same

BEST PICTURE
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

If La La Land doesn’t win…I’ll be shocked. Hidden Figures did win Best Ensemble at SAG though.

BEST DIRECTOR
Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

BEST ACTOR
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea 
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences

This category is one of the highest honors and especially difficult this year. I would like Ryan or Andrew to win, but I think it’s going to go to Casey who won the Golden Globe or Denzel, who won the SAG award.

BEST ACTRESS
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

EMMA! EMMA!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester by the Sea
20th Century Women

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight

I really want Hidden Figures to win something.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Arrival
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Silence

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Deepwater Horizon
Doctor Strange
The Jungle Book
Kubo and the Two Strings
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Passengers

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Blind Vaysha
Borrowed Time
Pear Cider and Cigarettes
Pearl
Piper

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Audition (The Fools Who Dream),” La La Land
“Can’t Stop the Feeling,” Trolls
“City of Stars,” La La Land
“The Empty Chair,” Jim: The James Foley Story
“How Far I’ll Go,” Moana

I liked Emma Stone’s solo better than the duet…sorry.

Other categories that I’m not knowledgeable enough about to give me opinion (hey, I’m being honest), but I’m going to give it a go anyways. When in doubt, La La Land, right?

BEST FILM EDITING
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land

Moonlight

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land
Passengers

PLEASE LET THIS MEAN JENNIFER LAWRENCE WILL BE THERE.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Allied
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie

La La Land

BEST SOUND MIXING
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Hacksaw Ridge was incredible, I want them to at least win one too.

BEST SOUND EDITING
Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Sully

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Fire at Sea
I Am Not Your Negro
Life, Animated
O.J.: Made in America
13th

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond
Suicide Squad

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Land of Mine
A Man Called Ove
The Salesman
Tanna
Toni Erdmann

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Extremis
4.1 Miles
Joe’s Violin
Watani: My Homeland
The White Helmets

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Ennemis Entreniers
La Femme et le TGV
Silent Nights
Sing
Timecode

Watch the Oscars with me when they air this Sunday, February 27th at 5:30pm on Abc. I’ll be watching the E! Red Carpet before as well.

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